Methodological limitations of forecasting the economic behavior of Ukrainians

- Малхазов, Олександр Ромуальдович (orcid.org/0000-0001-7312-5830) (2023) Methodological limitations of forecasting the economic behavior of Ukrainians Проблеми політичної психології, 14 (28). pp. 24-35. ISSN 2411-1449

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Abstract

Relevance. In the conditions of full-scale Russian aggression, citizens of Ukraine strive to adapt to new realities and look for models of socioeconomic behavior that would ensure survival and development. The article aims to justify the methodological foundations of socio-psychological forecasting of the economic behavior of Ukrainians. Results. It was discovered that the development of effective forecasts is complicated by a) the diversity of methodological approaches and classification models of economic behavior, b) the low validity of empirical research results based on various criteria models; and c) the multi-vector determination of economic behavior. A working definition of economic behavior is suggested as a set of choices regarding economic goals and ways of achieving them based on the worldviews and attitudes of individuals (groups, communities). Socio-psychological factors of economic behavior are defined the ones that are subject to empirical measurement: motivational (motives for making economic decisions, the level of awareness of one's interests and opportunities, the existing experience of implementing economic decisions and achieving goals); attitudinal (tolerance to corruption, attitude to money, law-abiding); competencies-related (the degree of economic awareness, the ability to: plan the economic future and steps to achieve it, make economic decisions in conditions of uncertainty, predict the consequences of one's decisions; readiness to change in order to improve one's economic well-being); reflective (identification of oneself as a participant in economic interaction, practice of analyzing the causes of one's failures and gains, assessing one's potential for making economic decisions). The stages of socio-psychological forecasting and the methods that should be used at each stage are defined. Conclusion and prospects for further research. One can build the prognostic scenarios based on a criterion model of factors of economic behavior and the determination of necessary and sufficient indicators.

Item Type:	Article
Keywords:	methodology, forecasting, economic behavior, limitations, factors of economic behavior, stages and methods of forecasting
Subjects:	Science and knowledge. Organization. Computer science. Information. Documentation. Librarianship. Institutions. Publications > 1 Philosophy. Psychology Science and knowledge. Organization. Computer science. Information. Documentation. Librarianship. Institutions. Publications > 3 Social Sciences > 308 Sociography. Descriptive studies of society (both qualitative and quantitative) Science and knowledge. Organization. Computer science. Information. Documentation. Librarianship. Institutions. Publications > 3 Social Sciences > 33 Economics. Economic science
Divisions:	The Institute of Social and Political Psychology > Department of Methodology for Psychosocial and Political Psychology Research
Depositing User:	гнс О.Р. Малхазов
Date Deposited:	18 Jun 2024 10:55
Last Modified:	18 Jun 2024 10:55
URI:	https://lib.iitta.gov.ua/id/eprint/741470

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